Will San Antonio have an NFL football team in the future because our Mayor thinks that's possible in a decade?
- KathyLv 71 month agoFavorite Answer
Probably not. There are other cities that want one too.
- conley39Lv 71 month ago
They could have one but it's not particularly that another team will move soon and less likely that there will be expansion.
- 1 month ago
Your mayor is delusional and doesn't understand how professional sports leagues work. But let's indulge his fantasy...
1) This would mean either expansion "or" relocation. A 32-team league works well math-wise, which means you're looking at relocation. More on expansion later.
2) There are currently 2 NFL teams in Texas who would likely be able to block expansion/relocation "unless" they were paid a territorial infringement fee that could easily go into the hundreds of millions.
3) The five largest US television markets that do NOT have an NFL franchise are as follows: Orlando, Sacramento, Portland OR, Raleigh-Durham, Salt Lake City (based on Nielsen data). San Antonio is 6th.
4) San Antonio doesn't rank in the top 150 US cities for per capita income, which doesn't exactly bode well for ticket sales.
5) But let's say the NFL does decide to expand to 36 teams (you'd have six 6-team divisions which would work well for math purposes). A San Antonio franchise would still have to pay a territorial infringement fee to Dallas (and probably Houston).
6) The "average" NFL franchise valuation is currently a shade over $3bn (that's billion). Let's say that Roger Goodell and the other owners are generous (they're not) and decide to only charge $2.5bn for each of the new franchises.
7) Please identify the owner who has $2.5bn sitting around AND (and this part's important) would be able to pass NFL scrutiny and investigation (this is going to eliminate a certain septuagenarian who is a recent resident of Florida this past week). He/she will also need another $1bn or so for operating costs, refurbishments to the the existing dome in San Antonio, and a line of credit.
8) Looking at relocation...identify the team that would be able to get out of an existing lease AND can buy off Dallas and Houston on the territorial infringement. AND has a viable plan to sell out every game at NFL prices (the average NFL ticket price is just over US$102) along with premium suites/club seats.