How long until there is a vaccine open to all for COVID-19 and if it is a year or so away does that mean shut down continues until then?
Like no school for a year, no sports, no churches or synagogues allowed to meet in person, not parties in person, nothing until about this time next year?
- UserLv 73 months agoFavorite Answer
1) How long until there is a vaccine open to all for COVID-19
Just read about this from a reputable online news source.
IF we are lucky then we will have 1 million doses of an effective anti-viral by Nov 2019.
(1 million is nothing compared to the need.)
That particular anti-viral is in the final testing stage. If approved by the FDA we will have 1 million doses by Nov. If it does not receive approval then don't expect an antidote/preventative to exist until 2020.
Even in the best case, it will be 2020 until there are enough treatment doses for everyone...
(some say: likely, some disagree)
that corona will "peter out" this Summer and that it will be essentially "done" by next Fall.
IF that's the case
we won't have a huge demand for treatment
and the 1 million doses
though probably still not enough
might be enough to help.
2) and if it is a year or so away does that mean shut down continues until then?
"Shutdown" is only going to continue
until the apparent risk of infection returns to low levels.
VERY PROBABLY that will happen in less than 8 weeks.
there is a risk that Corona will once again become a pandemic this Fall / Winter.
then there will again be "lockdown"s in most cities
only until the risk of infection once again reaches low levels
(typically: total 2-3 months).
- yLv 73 months ago
No one knows how long a vaccine will take, if they ever find one, if the virus doesn't mutate, which they have already seen in US cases and saw in China.
Social distancing crap will cause numbers to go down, we will start getting together, clusters will happen and we will shut down. That will be the pattern.
- Spock (rhp)Lv 73 months ago
12 months is TOO short a time. 18 to 24 is more likely for a widely used vaccine.
Probably it does not mean those things. It does mean taking steps such as China has done -- EVERYONE wears a mask when away from home. EVERYONE's temperature is checked before entering any large gathering. EVERYONE who has a fever is sent home [unless one has a "Certificate of Immunity"]. ALL fevers are followed up by public health authorities to determine a) if it is CV19, b) if so, who you have been in contact with in past 2 weeks, and c) if it is, that you actually are following the 14 day isolation routine.
ANYTHING less than these steps risks death to those who have any risk factor at all -- over age 60, overweight, diabetic, weak immune system, on various drugs, high blood pressure, past history of heart or lung ailments, etc.
It is entirely possible that individuals who knowingly violate health safety standards will be arrested and confined. It is also possible that those who get CV19 from them will successfully sue in civil court, possibly for millions in damages if someone dies. AND, your personal insurance coverage will be modified to preclude the company from having to pay any such civil damages or even defend you. [after all, it was a knowingly voluntary risk and that sort of thing is routinely excluded from coverage in the same way that shooting someone on purpose is excluded.]
Yes -- you can argue that these measures violate your civil rights. You will lose that case -- others have an equal right to be free from getting CV19 from you.Source(s): I am in daily touch with people in China. These are the sorts of measures China has imposed. And it took them ELEVEN weeks of lockdown to get to the point of allowing this much liberty.
- IncognitoLv 63 months ago
Better treatments and possibly even a cure could be developed sooner. Vaccines usually take much longer to develop.
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- Anonymous3 months ago
Never ever, Justin is just wrong.
- Anonymous3 months ago
Austria is opening up schools and whatnot next week. Sweden hasn't even locked down. The UK is hoping to lift the lockdown by the end of April potentially. It just depends on the state of the country. The US has the most cases worldwide. Nearly a third of all cases are in the US currently. So you may be locked down a fair bit longer if that's where you are. It just depends on how well social distancing has controlled the spread. That data will become clearer in the coming month or so. It won't be exclusively dependent on a vaccine.
- Justin ThymeLv 73 months ago
In time, yes. Be patient.
- Anonymous3 months ago
End of summer.
There are several vaccines in testing right now.
- Texas MikeLv 73 months ago
Maybe never - AIDS emerged in 1981 and we still do not have a vaccine.
- TayTayLv 63 months ago
vaccine wont do much at this point if you ask me, wont do anything for people who already have it