Anonymous
Anonymous asked in Science & MathematicsMathematics · 7 days ago

# Math question of corona virus?

They have said 15 percent need hospitilization 80 percent do not. So how many people by numbers need hospilization and how many not

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• 7 days ago

If 100 people test positive for the virus - 15 of them will require hospitalization while 80 of them will not.

• Ian H
Lv 7
6 days ago

Perhaps that means 15 percent need treatment in a hospital while 80 percent do not and 5% are in neither category, for example quite ill at home.

Today this link gave

87,400 tested so far, of those 9529 confirmed as having corona virus and sadly 463 deaths so far.  463 is about 5% of the 9529 confirmed.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-51768274

Has anyone mathematically modelled the number of confirmed cases to see when we are still on an exponential curve or when there might be the beginning of numbers levelling off? That beginning would be a change from concave upward to concave downward.

The current figures might be distorted by the anticipated large increase in testing

kits that will become available soon, as this is likely to reveal and confirm many new cases that were previously hidden, (mild or no symptoms),  or were not made clear.

Stay in if you possibly can and stay well.

• Pope
Lv 7
7 days ago

To need hospitalization or not to need it are complementary events. The sum of their probabilities must equal one, but in the given conditions the sum is 95%. Regardless of the number of people involved, those conditions are in conflict.