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Anonymous
Anonymous asked in Politics & GovernmentPolitics · 1 month ago

Will Trump do much better in the popular vote this time since it appears both Gary Johnson and Evan McMullin aren't going to run in 2020?

They combined for over 5 million votes in 2016. 

6 Answers

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  • Anonymous
    1 month ago

    Probably not.  If anything he's likely to do worse.  The demographic changes in the US mean that the electorate is more heavily slanted against the GOP than ever.  To get more votes, Trump will have to up his percentage among the voters who do lean Republican.  But available evidence seems to show that he's hurt himself.  His approval rating is real low among college educated whites, particularly college educated white women.  IIRC his numbers are down with white women overall. 

    One of the odd things is that Trump could actually increase his vote share and still lose.  Together, he and Clinton only got 94% of the vote.  Trump got 46%.  So he could gain as much as 3% of the vote and if the rest of it unites behind the Democrats they'd get an outright majority, and likely win. 

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  • Anonymous
    1 month ago

    Yes.  Just look at the rallies! Trump loves white America. Whites made this country and Trump will make sure whites keep it.

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  • 1 month ago

    Trump's chances of winning popular vote are much better than in 2016. Millions stayed home because FAKE NEWS kept spreading the "he has no chance" lie. Then there's Johnson and McMullin. All three branches of government may well be controlled by right after the Nov. election. 

    Note: It would be closer had the Dems not stacked up so many humiliating failures and lied and lied and lied. They have turned off millions of voters are are now just an embarrassment

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  • Anonymous
    1 month ago

    How do you know they're not? Or someone like them won't? Evan McMullin, for example, hadn't announce by this point last time. Moreover, if the Democratic Party runs a moderate, someone who is just left of center, someone like Pete Buttigieg, who currently holds the lead nationally in the number of delegates needed for the Democratic Party's nomination, then you will see him take the votes that went to Gary Jonson and Evan McMullin, the votes of conservatives and moderate Republicans that dislike Trump, especially since Trump and his followers have been alienating them by calling them RINOs for the past three years, leading them to think, "Well, maybe they're right, so I should stop being a RINO and vote for the Democrat that represents my moderately conservative views instead of that corrupt, immoral, bigoted, extremist, pathological-lying buffoon who ridiculously paints himself orange and expects the everyone to think it's a suntan and most certainly doesn't represent my views."

    By alt-right Trumpers calling McCain and Romney and their ilk RINOs for the past three years, they have successfully alienated much of the Republican base, the same base whose numbers were so sufficient as to make McCain and Romney each the Republican Party's nomination for President.  They have left Trump vulnerable to an attack from the middle by literally telling the Republican Party's silent majority, including much of the Christian right, over and over and over again that they are not real Republicans, and winning that argument doesn't mean driving those Republicans further right, like they seem to hope, but means those Republicans becoming disillusioned and alienated by the party that they've always remained loyal to and so stepping away from it and throwing their vote behind someone who better represents their non-extremist, moderate views, and if that be a Democrat, then so be it.

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  • 1 month ago

    A good portion of the country wants him out, so, winning the popular vote is not likely,

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  • Anonymous
    1 month ago

    well, it doesn't look like he is going to get as much help from the Russians this time, so my guess would be no

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