I've heard a lot of Republicans on here say they "know" Trump will win in 2020; so tell me, how do you know this?

the good economy?

In 1892 the economy was good and Benjamin Harrison lost re-election.

In 1912 the economy was good and William Howard Taft lost re-election.

In 1968 the economy was good, President Johnson didn't run again, but his party still lost.

Update:

One could argue that in all of these examples a third party came in and impacted the race ----

but think about this: it wasn't the 3rd parties that changed the election. It was the lousy performance of the incumbent president that PROMPTED the rise of a 3rd party. The 3rd party was a reflection of events, not the cause of events.

8 Answers

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  • 6 months ago
    Favorite Answer

    They know nothing.

    Lois, I posted an apology to you on that question you gave me an (undeserved, imo) best answer for. I hope you'll read and accept it before the comments disappear like they always do around here :)

  • 6 months ago

    !) Because of the excellent job Trump is doing. There is no doubt that President Trump has an America First agenda, and is following it.

    2) More importantly, how can there be any doubt that Trump will reelection after one look at any or all The current group of Candidates for The Democrat Nomination for President.

  • 6 months ago

    Democrats can not win.

    Here is why:

    The Democrats are facing a big problem under their "Big Tent".

    In trying to be all things to all people, Democrats have gathered too many factions with opposing ideologies under their "Big Tent".

    For instance, a Muslim Democrat will never vote for a Gay Candidate, a Capitalist Democrat will not vote for a Socialist Candidate, and most of the minorities will not vote for an old white man.

    It appears that the "Big Tent" approach to winning the Presidency may collapse on the Democrats in 2020, as it is impossible for them to please all of the different factions gathered under their "Big Tent" with a single Candidate who can be all things to all people.

  • Brian
    Lv 6
    6 months ago

    Wishing thinking

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  • 6 months ago

    It’s not a good sign for Trump that even though the economy seems good (but is strangling under his tantrum tariffs) he hasn’t been able to get over 50% approval since he’s been in office. Rational people know he’s riding on the Obama recovery and is doing his best to trash it.

  • Sherry
    Lv 6
    6 months ago

    Half of Democrats don't want an old white guy as the nominee, and the other half won't vote for Obama 2.0. Everyone is sick of the lying liberal media, and happy about the good economy, as you mentioned. They know what it was like under Obama, and don't want to risk going back to it again. Republicans will vote in even greater numbers this time, since we now know positive change is possible. Generation Z is more conservative than the previous generation by far. I can't see any reason for Trump to lose.

    Also, third party votes will likely come from dissatisfied liberals, not conservatives.

    • Sherry
      Lv 6
      6 months agoReport

      We live in strange and interesting times. I guess we'll see.

  • 6 months ago

    More recently, in 2016, the economy was good, but the incumbent's party lost the electoral college (but won the popular vote).

    • Grayrider
      Lv 6
      6 months agoReport

      Bottom line; Hillary lost and so did Al Gore. As a side note, had Al Gore won his home state of Tennessee, he would have won by 5 Electoral Votes instead of losing by 6 regardless of Florida. This is a mathematical fact..

  • 6 months ago

    You have no one capable of beating him, that's why sugarcup

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