Yes, because the manufacturing of Silicon based processors is hitting it's limits and die shrinks are becoming more difficult to pull off. No one really knows if Silicon based processors will ever hit the theoretical 3nm process which looks to be 10 years away. If the tech industry doesn't find a new and more efficient material to make processors soon then computing will hit an era of stagnation.
-Samsung and TSMC are flat out lying about their processors being on the 7nm process. Their processors are comparable to Intel's 10nm processors. At some point these companies will be exposed. For that matter, these names like 90nm, 22nm, 14nm, 7nm are all pseudonyms that don't represent the actual measurements within a CPU..... but these pseudonyms have Wall Street fooled.
-Intel originally intended for their 10nm processors to come out in 2016, and their 14nm products to come out in 2014. It's 2019 and their 10nm chips are only available for Mobility (Laptops), while their 14nm processors were a year late.
-Nvidia intended for their Turning RTX2000/GTX1600 based chips to be built on the 10nm process and 900-series Maxwell parts to be built on the 20nm process. Turning is fabbed on the 12nm process while Maxwell stayed on the 28nm process.
-AMD intended to put 20nm based FX and A-Series processors on the market sometime around 2014 but that never happened.
Processors hit 3ghz way back in 2002 and it was apparent that it was hitting it's limits back then. Now, Silicon based processors have trouble with 5ghz on one core. It's possible to clock a CPU beyond 5ghz but the CPU can't handle the excessive voltage for very long and the waste heat requires exotic types of cooling like DICE, L2N. The only time a CPU is overclocked to +6ghz is in overclocking competitions and it's been that way for years. Silicon based processors are close to hitting their clock speed limits.
The way processors have become faster over the lase decade is through increasing Architectural Efficiency. The single threaded/single core performance of the current 14nm Core i7 processors are 50% faster than the 1st Generation (45nm) Core i7 processors. The other way processors have become faster is by increasing core counts which has recently become the focus of both Intel and AMD.
Jensen at least has some room to play with because Graphics Processing Units are now clocking in at nearly 2ghz and he's proven that Nvidia can design processors with massive die spaces. Even still growth potential is limited which would give then one extra uARCH Generation to spend on product availability. It doesn't take an industry insider to figure that out that no one has more than 10 years to play with.
· 6 months ago