What's more disgusting?
The cons making it harder to vote or the Cons Gerry mandering or their attack on women's rights and health or trying to woo minorities that they obviously hate to vote for them or the cutting of food stamps to people that are victims of the Bush economy, or their defiance to admit that less guns equals less murders, or there desire to investigate women's vaginas or their hatred of public servants or their resistance to global climate change or green cars or public transit, or their baseless accusations that libs won't work or their childish actions that nearly brought the USA to financial collapse because they simple minded children?
Oh boy, now I'll get to hear some hatred from them, love it.
- ?Lv 77 years agoFavorite Answer
Republicans Certain to Retain Control of Virginia House of Delegates . OK McAuliffe . Work your magic ??
Geoffrey Skelley, Political Analyst
The Crystal Ball typically focuses on national or statewide politics, but given our base at the University of Virginia Center for Politics and our substantial readership in the Old Dominion, we decided to take a comprehensive look at the race for the state’s House of Delegates. All 100 seats are on the ballot this November. (The Virginia Senate is not up for election again until 2015, though there will be special elections for one or two of its 40 seats depending on the outcomes in statewide races — and these contests will be decisive in a body currently split 20-20.) While there are plenty of interesting House races across the Commonwealth, the overall outcome — continued Republican control by a clear margin — is not privately disputed by either side. — The Editors
While the gubernatorial contest between former Democratic National Committee Chairman Terry McAuliffe (D) and state Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli (R) remains a toss-up for now, the battle for control of the House of Delegates is decidedly not: Republicans will retain control of the Virginia House.
To regain a majority in the chamber, Democrats must make a net gain of 19 seats in 2013. As the analysis below shows, this is a task that can be described as virtually impossible. As long as the gubernatorial contest at the top of the ticket remains close, the GOP may suffer, at most, a net loss of about five seats in November. However, even if McAuliffe wins the governorship, Republicans won’t lose much more than that, and possibly fewer seats. If Cuccinelli surges to victory, his party will come close to maintaining its current majority and might even net one seat.
Despite Virginia’s recent history as one of the most competitive states at the federal level, the lower chamber of the state’s General Assembly has been anything but competitive in recent times. Since wresting control of the 100-member House of Delegates from Democrats in 1999, Republicans have consolidated their majority, particularly after the latest round of redistricting. Going into November, Republicans hold 66 seats to the Democrats’ 32, with one independent (who caucuses with the GOP and is retiring) and one vacant seat (a safe Republican seat).
Why the lack of competitiveness in Virginia? It stems from a number of factors. Most importantly, the electorate in Virginia’s off-year state elections looks very different from the state’s electorate in presidential elections. In 2008 and 2012, more than 70% of registered Virginia voters turned out to vote for president. But in the competitive 2005 gubernatorial election, turnout was only about 45%, a number that slid to just over 40% in the 2009 race. In off-year elections, those who are more likely to vote have a stronger influence on the results. The off-year electorate is wealthier and older, and therefore tends to be whiter and more conservative. This partly explains how Republicans can control 16 Virginia House districts that President Obama won in 2012. Like their national colleagues, Virginia Democrats dread voter drop-off in non-presidential years.
Additionally, while Virginia may be a purple state, its political distribution is not geographically equal. Most Democratic votes are clustered around Northern Virginia, Greater Richmond and Hampton Roads. Much like Democrats in the federal U.S. House of Representatives, Virginia Democrats suffer from being inefficiently distributed across the state, especially minority voters who are heavily concentrated in central cities. Correspondingly, most of the races discussed below are found in the state’s Urban Crescent (the three major urban areas concentrated in the eastern part of the state).
As is often the case, redistricting has also played a major role in the House’s lack of competitiveness. The party that controls the redistricting process is always going to help itself, regardless of the party. In Virginia, Republicans were positioned to create an even friendlier House map after the 2010 Census, while their Democratic counterparts in the Virginia Senate drew their own gerrymander (though it failed to preserve the Democratic majority in the 2011 Senate election). Thus, even though the 2009 election was an ugly affair for down-ticket Democrats because of state Sen. Creigh Deeds’ (D) overwhelming loss to now-Gov. Bob McDonnell (R), the 2011 election in the House actually turned out to be even worse for the minority party.
Lastly, Republicans’ overwhelming control in the Virginia House is not only a product of voter distribution, voter turnout and redistricting. It’s also a result of Republicans running stronger candidates in many cases. Even with the huge voter drop-off in off-year elections, it would still be hard for Republicans to control some of these districts where Obama won unless the GOP candidates fit their constituencies to a decent degree. Perhaps the best example is Del. Tom Rust (R, HD-86), a moderate who is so entrenched that he didn’t even have an opponent in 2011 despite representing a district where Obama won over 60% in 2012.
- DitkaLv 77 years ago
Go back, sit and listen to your Liberal Professor and let the adults handle this.. I just thought I accidentally turned on MSNBC.. but I was wrong.. It's just some immature thoughts of a child who has been brainwashed by our great Liberal educational system again.. really quite laughable but at the same time sad.
- 7 years ago
you and your bias against people you don't agree with. Just because we don't see eye to eye doesn't mean we should demean or belittle others beliefs. I accept that you think that conservatism is not correct. I don't think liberalism is correct on most things. I do not think you are disgusting or libs are disgusting. I just think you are incorrect and most libs have to think with their head as often as they think with their heart. A lot of liberal ideas are great but you have to hammer out every detail before you try to implement it. So keep thinking emotionally but also engage your higher intelligence and justify and plan before you implement ideas just because they help. As for Gerrymandering liberals do that as much as conservatives.
- SeanLv 77 years ago
The State causing and pushing everything you mentioned to benefit itself at the detriment of the nation and people, and the people looking to the State do it even more with the idea that more of it will fix it.
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- SCE2AUX2Lv 77 years ago
Theft is still immoral, it doesn't matter if the government carries it out.