Precisely zero chance. Homosexualists and the whole pink lobby ought to be patient Don't think that by publicising the beastly attitude of the hateful Ruskies and their horrid anti-gay legislation, and focusing on (the absence of) gay rights there is going to help their homosexualist gay cousins in Russiaville. Just like talking "human rights" to China, gay rights is seen as a western concept, and simply plays into the hands of politicians who seek to shape policies which are anti-western, to protect them against "meddling westerners". Just because we are liberal and accepting, don't think that you can force this on other countries and cultures.
The Olympic is a money-making, commercial extravaganza. I don't think the trivial issue of gay rights matters in this context. You can't make money from gay rights.
Well, to all the naysayers who thumb-down me, you need to get real. You're idealists. Simply idealists. What happens in the West happens in the West - outside nobody gives a **** about our values, and our beliefs. If you think you're helping your cause, you're probably *showing* other westerners how much you care, but you are making zero difference to the rights of your gay brethren outside our liberal pocket of the world. You are probably stiffening opposition to it,