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Dan asked in SportsBaseball · 7 years ago

Possible HOF'ers?

Which of these player will go to the HOF and what ballot? (As of now)

1. Derek Jeter

2. Paul Konerko

3. Scott Rolen

4. Jim Thome

5. Vladmir Guerrero

6. Alex Rodriguez

7. David Ortiz

8. R.A. Dickey

9. David Wright

10. Yadier Molina

Update:

11. Jason Giambi

12. Johnny Damon

13. Mariano Rivera

14. Omar Vizquel

15. Torii Hunter

16. Michael Young

17. Chipper Jones

Update 2:

18. Albert Pujols

19. Chris Carpenter

20. Roy Halladay

21. Ichiro Suzuki

22. Daisuke Matsuzaka (I think that is how it is spelled)

23. Roger Clemens

24. Adam Dunn

25. Ken Griffey Jr.

26. Gary Sheffield

27. Todd Helton

28. Bobby Abreu

11 Answers

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  • 7 years ago
    Favorite Answer

    As of RIGHT NOW:

    Jeter- first ballot.

    Thome and Guerrero anywhere between first and fifth ballots.

    ARod and Ortiz are not getting in due to PED issues.

    Konerko and Rolen need bigger career numbers [Konerko's getting there, but Rolen might retire soon]

    David Wright and Yadier Molina wouldn't even be eligible if they never played again (only nine seasons each), so...

    And RA Dickey has exactly 'one' HOF-ish season*, plus two other 'good' seasons, and a mere 65 career wins as a 'starting pitcher.' If he didn't play another game, he'd be lucky to get two votes.

    Edit:

    Chipper Jones and Mariano Rivera will be first-ballot HOFers.

    Omar Vizquel will get in, I think, but I have no idea how long it will take him. I don't see him getting in on the first ballot, but I could be wrong.

    Giambi has PED issues, so no.

    Torii Hunter has no chance.

    Damon and Young have slim chances at this point.

    Edit II:

    Pujols and Suzuki could never play again and make the HOF. It might take a few years, but they'd get in.

    Ken Griffey, Jr, is already retired and already a first-ballot HOFer.

    Halladay is a future HOFer; he's got the hard part over with, he just needs to pad his numbers a bit.

    Carpenter was just injured too much; if he could manage to pitch into his forties and pass 200 wins, maybe; but you're asking "as of now," so no.

    Dice-K wouldn't even be eligible (six seasons. Do you even look this up?).

    Clemens and Sheffield have PED issues, so no.

    Adam Dunn would have to clear 500, maybe 600 homers to have a chance; he literally 'is' a one-dimensional player (he can't field, he strikes out a ton, his batting average is beyond 'poor,' he doesn't run bases well, etc. JUST home runs). So as of now, NO.

    Helton has the career numbers, and some good black and gray ink scores, 'and' has a reputation as a good fielder (three Gold Gloves). But he'd get serious points knocked off for the Coors Effect. As of now, I'd say he ends up however Larry Walker ends up (if Helton can cross 2500 hits, 1500 runs, 1500 RBI, I'd increase his likelihood).

    Bobby Abreu is a good case of "almost" in a 'lot' of HOF benchmarks. After his 2009 season, he was at .299/.404./.493, pretty much 'at' the magical .300/.400/.500 line. But other seasons have happened since, dragging him down to .292/.396/.477. He's "almost" at 2500 hits, "almost" at 1500 runs, "almost" at 1500 RBI, "almost" at 300 home runs, "almost" at 400 stolen bases... If his 2010-2012 had been graceful decline, he'd have reached all those benchmarks and have a much stronger case, in my opinion.

    But as of NOW, no.

    Source(s): *Hall of Fame-ISH. It's not even one of those clear, "THAT'S a Hall of Fame season!" seasons.
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  • Erich
    Lv 7
    7 years ago

    1. Derek Jeter - Yes, first ballot

    2. Paul Konerko - No

    3. Scott Rolen - No

    4. Jim Thome - Yes

    5. Vladmir Guerrero - Yes

    6. Alex Rodriguez - As of now it's unlikely. I expect him to receive the same treatment as Bonds and Clemens, so if they eventually get in A-Rod will too.

    7. David Ortiz - No

    8. R.A. Dickey - No, Hall of Famers have great careers, not just one good season

    9. David Wright - Not yet

    10. Yadier Molina - No, at least not yet

    11. Jason Giambi - No

    12. Johnny Damon - No

    13. Mariano Rivera - Yes

    14. Omar Vizquel - I don't think so, some think otherwise.

    15. Torii Hunter - No

    16. Michael Young - No, unless he gets to 3,000 hits

    17. Chipper Jones - Yes

    18. Albert Pujols - Yes, first ballot

    19. Chris Carpenter - No

    20. Roy Halladay - Yes

    21. Ichiro Suzuki - Yes

    22. Daisuke Matsuzaka - This one's a joke, right?

    23. Roger Clemens - Not yet, impossible to project if/when voters will change their minds

    24. Adam Dunn - No

    25. Ken Griffey Jr. - Yes, first ballot

    26. Gary Sheffield - No

    27. Todd Helton - No

    28. Bobby Abreu - No

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  • 7 years ago

    1. Derek Jeter - Yes

    2. Paul Konerko - Yes

    3. Scott Rolen - No

    4. Jim Thome - Yes

    5. Vladmir Guerrero - Probably

    6. Alex Rodriguez - No

    7. David Ortiz - 50/50

    8. R.A. Dickey - Not even close

    9. David Wright - No

    10. Yadier Molina - Doubt it

    Jeter and Thome are the only two that will make it on their first ballot.

    11. Jason Giambi - No

    12. Johnny Damon - No

    13. Mariano Rivera - Yes (first ballot)

    14. Omar Vizquel - Yes

    15. Torii Hunter - Yes

    16. Michael Young - No

    17. Chipper Jones - Yes

    18. Albert Pujols - Yes (first ballot)

    19. Chris Carpenter - No

    20. Roy Halladay - Yes

    21. Ichiro Suzuki - Yes (first ballot)

    22. Daisuke Matsuzaka - No chance

    23. Roger Clemens - No

    24. Adam Dunn - No

    25. Ken Griffey Jr. - Yes (first ballot)

    26. Gary Sheffield - Yes

    27. Todd Helton - Yes

    28. Bobby Abreu - No

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  • 7 years ago

    Certainly will be elected to the HOF: Jeter, Rivera, Jones, Pujols, Griffey

    Probably will be elected to the HOF: Thome, Guerrero, Rodriguez, Suzuki, Halladay, Clemens

    Could get to HOF level, not there yet: Wright

    Small possibility of election: Rolen, Vizquel, Sheffield, Helton,

    Unlikely to ever be elected: Konerko, Ortiz, Molina, Giambi, Damon, Hunter, Young, Carpenter, Dunn, Abreu

    Will never be elected: Dickey, Matsuzaka

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  • 7 years ago

    A few of these guys need to play more to be Hall of Famers. We don't know if R.A. Dickey will pitch for another 10 years or not.

    Definitely getting in on the first ballot:

    Derek Jeter (Lock to get in)

    Jim Thome (Lock to get in)

    Mariano Rivera (Lock to get in)

    Chipper Jones (Voters will reward him for playing the game the right way)

    On the 2-13th ballot:

    Paul Konerko (very quietly putting together a great career)

    Vladimir Guerrero (overall numbers are questionable, but he was an all star in his time)

    David Ortiz (there will be disputes because he is only a DH, but he will have lots of the home runs)

    Omar Vizquel (defense will get him in)

    Johnny Damon (his numbers look good compared to other leadoff hitters)

    Too hard to tell, they need to play longer:

    David Wright (needs to have 8-9 more seasons like 2006)

    Yadier Molina (needs to have 7 more seasons like last year, outstanding defense)

    Distant chance:

    Scott Rolen (only a few great seasons)

    Jason Giami (admitted to using steroids; overall #s aren't outstanding)

    Michael Young (Novice defense, one of the best rangers ever, overall #s aren't good enough for HOF)

    Torii Hunter (defense was good, overall numbers aren't great)

    Not a chance of getting in:

    R.A. Dickey (He is 38 years old and only has 61 career wins; he needs to have 12-15 years like 2012)

    Alex Rodriguez (Used PEDs, may have lied about how long he's used PEDs)

    Source(s): Observing how the voters work
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  • 7 years ago

    1. Derek Jeter - Yes (1-2 ballot)

    2. Paul Konerko - No

    3. Scott Rolen - No

    4. Jim Thome - Yes (9-10 ballots)

    5. Vladmir Guerrero - No

    6. Alex Rodriguez - Yes (9-10 ballots)

    7. David Ortiz - No

    8. R.A. Dickey - GOD No

    9. David Wright - No

    10. Yadier Molina - No

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  • 7 years ago

    Jeter is a lock. He'll make it first ballot.

    I think Konerko deserves it, but he never gets enough credit these days.

    I don't think Rolen will make it.

    I would definitely vote for Thome.

    Vlad has a pretty good chance to get in.

    A-Rod won't based on the PED crackdown.

    PED rumors and DH hate will hurt Big Papi, so he will have a hard time.

    Dickey has no chance whatsoever unless he pitches for as long as Jamie Moyer.

    Wright is too early in his career to say he'd get in as of now. Maybe eventually.

    Same thing for Yadi.

    Giambi definitely won't. If Bonds can't get in, neither can Giambi.

    Damon had a good career but no.

    Mo is another Yankee lock, along with Jeter.

    Vizquel has 2877 hits but I don't see him getting in.

    Hunter has been good, but not HOF level.

    Young at this point wouldn't make it.

    Chipper will (I hope, he deserves it).

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  • bigsby
    Lv 4
    3 years ago

    Derek Jeter and Mariano Rivera are locks. Robinson Cano is off to an particularly good start up resume-sensible. Sabathia is properly on his thank you to 3 hundred wins, presented he can stay healthful. A sparkling A-Rod would have been a lock yet he in all hazard won't get the nod by way of fact of his admitted steroid abuse. Pettitte is close yet won't get in by way of fact of his inflated era. i'm uncertain approximately Nova authentic now. he would be in a similar quandary as Andy - lot of wins yet no longer an stunning era.

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  • 7 years ago

    Yes

    Yes

    No

    Yes

    Yes

    No

    Yes

    No

    Too young to tell

    No

    No

    No

    Yes

    No

    No

    No

    Yes

    Yes

    No

    No

    Yes

    No

    Yes

    No

    Yes

    No

    Yes

    No

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  • 7 years ago

    el Águila's answer is 100% correct in every aspect.

    I applaud him - I can't remember anyone in this group ever writing such a detailed answer regarding HOFers that was so dead on correct.

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