what are the most likely 2012 kentucky derby contenders?
- Sandra S.Lv 79 years agoFavorite Answer
Are you looking for all Contenders, or just Top Contenders, assuming Top, at this point, we have to consider there are still derby prep races coming up- The Florida Derby,The Santa Anita Derby,The Wood Memorial, The Blue Grass Stakes and The Arkansas Derby, which can change up things very quickly..however, at this point I have my Top Virtual Stable Contenders.. Here the horses in my virtual stable along with some long shots with my #1 favorite being Union Rags.. after that note others are not necessarily in order of preference-
~ TOP Pick is Union Rags (Michael Matz, trainer; Julien Leparoux, jockey): Union Rags has grown to be Massive 17hh, and is in great form, a truly an amazing horse who had a bad trip in the BC when he lost to Hansen. Union Rags as the Fountain of Youth (G2) winner he worked 5 furlongs in 1:04 1/5 under Leparoux at Palm Meadows on Saturday.Next start: Florida Derby (G1), Gulfstream, March 31.
~ Secret Circle (Bob Baffert, Rafael Bejarano): Showed versatility by stalking leaders before Rebel (G2) win. Has won 5 of 6 races, with only loss by a half-length in the Sham (G3). Next start: Arkansas Derby, Oaklawn, April 7.
~ Hansen (Mike Maker, Ramon Dominguez): This unique Gotham (G3) winner worked 4 furlongs in 50 2/5 seconds at Churchill Downs trackside training center on Sunday. Next start: Wood Memorial (G1), Aqueduct, April 7.
~ El Padrino (Todd Pletcher, Javier Castellano): Risen Star (G2) winner among Pletcher's many Derby hopefuls. Colt has won both starts in 2012. Next start: Florida Derby where he's up against Union Rags..tough.
~ Gemologist (Pletcher, Castellano): Won long-awaited 3-year-old debut by seven lengths in an allowance race at Gulfstream on Friday not too shabby, making him a likely contender. Improve to 4 of 4. Next start: Wood Memorial.
~ Creative Cause (Mike Harrington, Joel Rosario): San Felipe (G2) winner may end up as top West Coast contender for Derby. Next start: Santa Anita Derby (G1), Santa Anita, April 7.
~ Alpha (Kiaran McLaughlin, Dominguez): Withers (G3) winner worked 5 furlongs in 1:01.20 Saturday at Palm Meadows. Final Derby prep still not definite, but is a probable in Florida Derby.
~ Bodemeister (Baffert, Bejarano): Named for Baffert's youngest son, Bode. A game second in San Felipe in third career start. Next start: Santa Anita Derby. Baffert is an amazing trainer and knows how to get them ready..
~ Howe Great (Graham Motion, John Velazquez): Palm Beach (G3) winner is turf tested, but may wait until Derby for his test on dirt. Team Valor's Barry Irwin took a similar route with 2011 Derby winner Animal Kingdom .Next start: Blue Grass (G1), Keeneland, April 14.
~ Mark Valeski (Larry Jones, Rosie Napravnik): Risen Star runner-up working toward final Derby prep at home base. Next start: Louisiana Derby (G1), Fair Grounds, April 1.
~ Dullahan- (D.Romans K. Desormeaux) I was very intrigued by this horse, considering he came in 2nd after a 4 month layoff in the Palm Beach (Gr3) Next Start: Apr 14 - Blue Grass (G1)
Also Interested in Optimizer who came to a nice 'flying' close to place in the Rebel..definate speed there. Also, looking forward to watching Take Charge Indy in next Prep...they are others but think I have enough here..
We shall see.. :)