craggar asked in SportsHorse Racing · 9 years ago

what are the most likely 2012 kentucky derby contenders?

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  • 9 years ago
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    Are you looking for all Contenders, or just Top Contenders, assuming Top, at this point, we have to consider there are still derby prep races coming up- The Florida Derby,The Santa Anita Derby,The Wood Memorial, The Blue Grass Stakes and The Arkansas Derby, which can change up things very quickly..however, at this point I have my Top Virtual Stable Contenders.. Here the horses in my virtual stable along with some long shots with my #1 favorite being Union Rags.. after that note others are not necessarily in order of preference-

    ~ TOP Pick is Union Rags (Michael Matz, trainer; Julien Leparoux, jockey): Union Rags has grown to be Massive 17hh, and is in great form, a truly an amazing horse who had a bad trip in the BC when he lost to Hansen. Union Rags as the Fountain of Youth (G2) winner he worked 5 furlongs in 1:04 1/5 under Leparoux at Palm Meadows on Saturday.Next start: Florida Derby (G1), Gulfstream, March 31.

    ~ Secret Circle (Bob Baffert, Rafael Bejarano): Showed versatility by stalking leaders before Rebel (G2) win. Has won 5 of 6 races, with only loss by a half-length in the Sham (G3). Next start: Arkansas Derby, Oaklawn, April 7.

    ~ Hansen (Mike Maker, Ramon Dominguez): This unique Gotham (G3) winner worked 4 furlongs in 50 2/5 seconds at Churchill Downs trackside training center on Sunday. Next start: Wood Memorial (G1), Aqueduct, April 7.

    ~ El Padrino (Todd Pletcher, Javier Castellano): Risen Star (G2) winner among Pletcher's many Derby hopefuls. Colt has won both starts in 2012. Next start: Florida Derby where he's up against Union Rags..tough.

    ~ Gemologist (Pletcher, Castellano): Won long-awaited 3-year-old debut by seven lengths in an allowance race at Gulfstream on Friday not too shabby, making him a likely contender. Improve to 4 of 4. Next start: Wood Memorial.

    ~ Creative Cause (Mike Harrington, Joel Rosario): San Felipe (G2) winner may end up as top West Coast contender for Derby. Next start: Santa Anita Derby (G1), Santa Anita, April 7.

    ~ Alpha (Kiaran McLaughlin, Dominguez): Withers (G3) winner worked 5 furlongs in 1:01.20 Saturday at Palm Meadows. Final Derby prep still not definite, but is a probable in Florida Derby.

    ~ Bodemeister (Baffert, Bejarano): Named for Baffert's youngest son, Bode. A game second in San Felipe in third career start. Next start: Santa Anita Derby. Baffert is an amazing trainer and knows how to get them ready..

    ~ Howe Great (Graham Motion, John Velazquez): Palm Beach (G3) winner is turf tested, but may wait until Derby for his test on dirt. Team Valor's Barry Irwin took a similar route with 2011 Derby winner Animal Kingdom .Next start: Blue Grass (G1), Keeneland, April 14.

    ~ Mark Valeski (Larry Jones, Rosie Napravnik): Risen Star runner-up working toward final Derby prep at home base. Next start: Louisiana Derby (G1), Fair Grounds, April 1.

    ~ Dullahan- (D.Romans K. Desormeaux) I was very intrigued by this horse, considering he came in 2nd after a 4 month layoff in the Palm Beach (Gr3) Next Start: Apr 14 - Blue Grass (G1)

    Also Interested in Optimizer who came to a nice 'flying' close to place in the Rebel..definate speed there. Also, looking forward to watching Take Charge Indy in next Prep...they are others but think I have enough here..

    We shall see.. :)

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