Will Dale Earnhardt, Jr. win a race this year, and will he make the Chase?

He said before the season that he wanted to get at least 3 wins this season, and there are still 30 races left on the schedule. What tracks will Dale Jr. most likely get a win on?

Some of his good tracks:

Atlanta
Bristol
Daytona
Martinsville
Michigan
Phoenix
Richmond
Talladega
Texas
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