Please help! Probability of winning...?
Let's say in a hockey game, Team A has 0 points and Team B has 2 points at the start of the 3rd period. Team A must obviously score 3 points to win the game. What is the probability of them winning?
Please explain as much as you can instead of just giving the answer. Thank you so much for any help!!!
- 1 decade agoFavorite Answer
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- Anonymous1 decade ago
IF (and that is a very very very big IF!) you think that hockey games are Laplace experiments, you can assign equal probablilities to all possible results and then compute such a probablility.
But obviously, this is complete nonsense: (a) Not all results are equally probable; (b) there are [I think - I do not know the rules of hockey] infinitely many results (at least "in theory", 3244:1451345 is a possible result). But, most important, (c) both teams in each game are of different strength - therefore, it is fun to watch them at all, isn't it?
So the probability of team A winning is whatever it is ... depending on how much their trainer is able to raise them; and how well they play at all; and whether they play at home or not; and whether it's raining ... at what else.