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Anonymous asked in Education & ReferenceHomework Help · 1 decade ago

reasons why population growth in developing countries is forecast to exceed population growth in developed cou?

reasons why population growth in developing countries is forecast to exceed population growth in developed country ..??

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  • 1 decade ago
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    Population growth in developed countries is already greater then in developed countries, not forecast to be.

    The standard explanation of this is called the "demographic transition." Population growth in poor countries is thought to be in or closer to a "pre modern" state in which death rates of children are high and many pregnancies and births are necessary to maintain the population. (Any group of people subject to the high pre modern death rates that did not have social practices that led to high number of births would not last long) In this pre modern state population growth would be zero.

    What happens when some development starts. Health improves and food supply improves and suddenly the death rate of children falls sharply. Social customs however do not change so fast and birth rates remain the same resulting in high population growth.

    Most parents don't really want dozens of children so eventually customs change to reduce the number of births. (This happened in Europe and the US even before easy birth control methods.) In some countries the number of births is less then the number of deaths and the population is falling.

    That is what is going on today. Birth rates in developing countries are falling pretty rapidly, but are still above death rates so population growth continues.

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