? asked in 商業與財經投資 · 1 decade ago

(問題)台股歷史走勢!!

想請問各位老師和專家!!

台股過去 有幾次大跌 和大跌的指數又是如何?!

背後歷史背景又是如何?!

3 Answers

Rating
  • 1 decade ago
    Favorite Answer

    已經濟成長率來觀察,可以看出股市的起伏.

    連五季以上經濟成長率下滑後的股市行情

    1.1973/12~1974/12 (514.85~188.74) (-60%)

    2.1975/6~1976/10  (429.02~257.55) (-40%)

    3.1978/10~1980/7 (688.52~480.38) (-30%)

    4.1981/10~1982/8 (600.73~421.43) (-30%)

    5.1984/5~1985/7 (969.25~636.02) (-34%)

    6.1990/2~1990/10 (12682.41~2485) (-83%)

    7.1994/10~1995/8 (7228.33~4474.32) (-39%)

    8.1997/8~1999/2 (10256.10~5422.66) (-50%)

    9. 2000/2~2001/10 (10393.16~3411.66) (-70%)

    目前經濟成長率~連4季下跌...回檔25~30%

    如果連5季下跌...跌幅至少30%以上

    以今年高點9300下跌至今7000,似乎還沒超過30%

    以去年高點9800下跌至今7000,似乎才快到30%

    所以接下來....................................

    Source(s): 自己的研究
  • 6 years ago

    到下面的網址看看吧

    ▶▶http://qoozoo201409150.pixnet.net/blog

  • 1 decade ago

    本人同意DARREN的看法

    你再配合線型M頭

    你就會懂 真正的反彈點在那裡

    Source(s): 要他漲 真的 很難 也很煩
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