What do you think Economy Not Reliant On Illegal Immigration ?
Takes a minute or two to read.If reading is not for you skip this question.One of the arguments currently made for increasing the intake of immigrants and guest workers is that it is vital to the health of the nation's economy.
If this were true, a tough choice would have to be made between economic stagnation and the social and environmental impact of adding further population growth on top of what is already too much.
Fortunately, there is no real dilemma. The economy can grow in a healthy fashion with a low level of immigration. How do we know? Our economic history demonstrates this fact.
Between 1925 and 1965, we had a level of immigration that averaged less than 180,000 admissions per year. Illegal immigration during that period was not the serious problem that it is today.
To The City
During that period of restricted immigration — curtailed in part because of World War II and the Depression — the overall trend in economic growth was impressive. It was a time of rapid industrialization and mechanization, a major move from rural America and work in agriculture to the cities and industrial jobs.
Women entered the work force in large numbers. In 1920, according to the census, 23.7% of women were in the work force. By 1970, before the effects of the 1965 change in the immigration law had significantly expanded immigrant admissions, the share of women in the work force had grown to 43.3%.
The best indicator of how the U.S. economy responded to the period of low immigration between 1925 and 1966 may be seen in inflation-adjusted GDP per capita over that period. It clearly shows that, apart from a rapid jump during WWII and a drop back following it, the overall trend is rising national product — i.e., economic development.
It may also be seen that the increase in per capita GDP has continued since the 1965 Immigration Act unleashed rapid immigration growth. But the rate of increase since 1966 is not as great as it was during the period of low immigration.
From 1925 to 1966, GDP per capita increased by 168.4%. That is an average annual increase of 4.0%. During the period since then (1966-2005), the increase in GDP per capita has been 114.2%. That is an annual average increase of 2.9%.
Of course, immigration is not the only factor influencing economic change. The role of labor unions, laws, trade, transportation, communication and technology all play major roles in economic change.
As the United States has become more enmeshed in international commerce and other countries have developed economically, greater competition exists for our produce.
It is tempting to look at the greater per annum GDP per capita growth during our earlier low immigration and conclude that a return to low immigration would result in a new surge in per capita growth.
Back To Work
A slowing in the availability of low-wage labor, according to economic theory, should have the effect of causing wages to rise to attract more U.S. workers back into those occupations.
If the nation's output continued to grow during a period of slowing growth in population, this would contribute to the growth in GDP per capita. However, because there are other economic forces at play in shaping the national product, that is not a clear-cut prospect.
Nevertheless, the nation's history with low-level immigration and the economic growth during that period provides evidence that it is wrong to suggest that our economy will suffer if immigration and guest worker programs are not increased — as business interests are currently asserting.
On the contrary, it suggests that the economy would continue to be healthy if immigration were significantly reduced.
- 1 decade agoBest Answer
It's difficult to argue with facts. This article is packed with reality checks for every fake out there looking to grab a quick buck.
Thanks for the info.
- 1 decade ago
I'm from Montana, farm and ranching area, and NEVER seen an immigrant until I moved to California at the age of 14. I know we can do without them.
- jeanLv 71 decade ago
For me it's about illegal immigration and who should decide and for who's needs. If we need immigration there are people all over the world that would be willing to pay to come here to work.
- 1 decade ago
You actually believe these businesses that say they need foreign worker's.
Dude they are greedy bastards that want cheap labor.
There are plenty of people here that can do the job!
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- ErichoLv 61 decade ago
interesting. i a msure we can work out our concerns, peacefully.